Sutton’s FA Cup fourth-round predictions v indie-rock band Doves

League One side Leyton Orient are hoping to cause one of the biggest shocks in the FA Cup’s illustrious history when they host defending Premier League champions Manchester City on Saturday.

You can watch the tie live on BBC One and also listen to Chris Sutton’s co-commentary from Gaughan Group Stadium on BBC Radio 5 Live – but is our predictions expert expecting an upset?

“City boss Pep Guardiola always takes the FA Cup seriously,” Sutton said. “He will have to this season, because it is the best chance they have got of winning a trophy.”

Sutton has made his predictions for all 16 fourth-round ties and given his verdict on who will make it into round five.

For this week’s matches he is up against two guests who definitely don’t want to see an Orient win make the headlines – Jez and Andy Williams from indie band Doves, who are both City fans.

Doves’ new album, Constellations For the Lonely, is released on 28 February. Their latest single, Cold Dreaming, is out now and they tour the UK in February and March.

Do you agree with their scores? You can choose who you think will win each tie, below.

Drummer Andy and guitarist Jez are both lifelong City fans – or, almost lifelong in the case of Jez – who admits he very briefly supported Manchester United.

“Andy went for City and, because we were twins, I went for the opposite because I wanted to be my own person,” Jez told BBC Sport.

“It was when we were six or seven and I was like well, I am having Red if he is Blue! So, I went Red, but then I saw the light and switched to the correct side pretty quickly.”

Their first heroes were City legends Colin Bell and Mike Summerbee – who Andy once impressed with his penalty-taking prowess.

“Bell and Summerbee were a bit before our time as players, but they were still such big figures in Manchester,” Andy explained.

“We went to Mike Summerbee’s Soccer School once, and I won a penalty contest – it is the only football trophy I have ever won, and I have still got it in my studio, this plastic thing.

“Summerbee went in goal and I had this technique where I would zig-zag with my run-up and then just boot it. I think everyone was laughing at me so much that he just let them in.

“I thought I was being really clever, but I probably looked a bit of a plonker!”

The current City squad is full of superstars but, even during the club’s less successful period in the 1990s, there were still players that got Andy and Jez off their seats.

“We went to watch them a lot then, to Maine Road, and I think our next hero was Georgi Kinkladze,” Andy said.

“And Paul Dickov and The Goat [Shaun Goater],” added Jez. “They were all brilliant.

“Obviously they were around in what I would call the dark days, but they were inspirational weren’t they? When they shone, they really shone. Especially Kinkladze and his runs like the goals he scored against Leicester and West Ham in the FA Cup.”

You can watch Kinkladze’s solo goal against the Hammers from 1998 below. His goal in a replay against Leicester in 1996 saw him pick up the ball in his own half and accelerate past three players before firing into the bottom corner.

“I was there,” Andy said. “They were such difficult days for City but when Kinkladze or Uwe Rosler did something special like that, the whole place would light up. We needed players like that to give us those moments.

“There have been a few like them down the years – not just great players, but also City though and through.”

Chris Sutton, Jez Williams and Andy Williams were speaking to BBC Sport’s Chris Bevan.

FA Cup fourth-round predictions

There are no replays. Games will be decided by extra time and penalties.

Gap = league places between the two teams

Friday, 7 February

What a story it is to see Ruud van Nistelrooy, who has won the FA Cup with Manchester United as a player, going back to Old Trafford with Leicester.

He was in charge of United when they beat the Foxes there twice in the space of two weeks earlier in the season, but he will want a different outcome this time.

Leicester are struggling at the moment but this still won’t be straightforward for United.

It’s amazing how many surprise results there have been in the Premier League this season, but the one constant has been that United have been awful throughout.

I have absolutely no confidence in this prediction but, based on how poor Leicester have been recently, and also their heavy defeat by Everton last time out, I think the holders will find a way of winning this tie in 90 minutes to make it into the draw for round five.

Sutton’s prediction: 2-1

Jez: So, we can choose what we want to happen as well as what we think might happen? Good! Leicester to beat United, then – even if Leicester are having a terrible time at the moment.

Andy: United are not having a good time either!

Doves’ prediction: 1-2

Saturday, 8 February

This is an awkward one to call because of Leeds’ situation.

They are five points clear at the top of the Championship after beating Coventry on Wednesday but four teams are going for the two automatic spots. Promotion is their priority, and I think their manager Daniel Farke will make quite a few changes here.

I don’t agree with that thinking, but I can kind of understand it. I’d love to see Leeds really have a go in the FA Cup but they play Watford in the Championship next Tuesday. Their schedule is relentless, and the financial rewards of going up – or the consequences of missing out – are huge.

Farke is not the only former Norwich boss involved here – Alex Neil is a pretty shrewd manager who is on a good little run with Millwall and they have just won three games in a row to put themselves on the fringe of the play-off race.

I had to think quite a lot about this one, but I am going to go with Millwall to cause an upset.

They have already beaten Leeds this season, at The Den in November, and Leeds have only lost one of their 18 games since.

But this prediction is based more on the kind of team I am expecting Leeds will put out, because I think Farke is more likely to put out a weakened team than Neil.

Sutton’s prediction: 1-2 after extra time

Doves’ prediction: 1-2

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola will probably make some changes with his side’s Champions League tie against Real Madrid coming up on Tuesday, but he won’t just field a load of kids.

Instead it will probably be Kevin de Bruyne and Jack Grealish who come into the side, so City are hardly going to be lacking experience.

Leyton Orient have already been one of the stories of this season’s FA Cup, thanks to goalkeeper Josh Keeley, who went up for a stoppage-time corner in their second-round win over Oldham and scored a 99th-minute equaliser to force extra time, then Dan Agyei got their winner in the 121st minute.

Orient went on to knock out Championship side Derby County on penalties in round three to earn this tie, but I feel a bit sorry for them because they won’t be at full strength here.

They had a good January in terms of making signings but lots of the new players won’t be eligible here, and they have some injuries to contend with too.

Saturday’s loss at home to Stockport was their first defeat in 13 games and while they have been in excellent form, they have lost a bit of momentum.

Their manager Richie Wellens is a boyhood Manchester United fan who started his career with the Reds and would love to get one over City, but I don’t see it happening for him.

City won’t get as many as they did against Salford City in round three, but they are going through. Orient will get a goal, but that’s all.

Sutton’s prediction: 1-3

Jez: We just did not realise how much of an influence Rodri was on the rest of the players until he got injured in September. His presence must have a psychological, calming, effect because everyone looked better and more confident when he was in the team. It’s only in the past few weeks that we have started to look ourselves, apart from last weekend of course, when we got absolutely trounced. I think everyone is enjoying our wobble.

Andy: Rodri is one of the best midfielders in the world, that’s why we’ve missed him.

Jez: My personal ambition for the season now is I want to finish in the top four and as long as we make that, I’d be happy. The Champions League you can forget – obviously I want us to win it, but you’ve got to be realistic. An FA Cup win would be nice, and that is definitely doable.

Andy: Of course we can win it. We’ve got to beat Orient first, but that’s what we’ve gone for. Pep always shows every team massive respect, and that’s why complacency never comes into it for us in games like this. He will field a strong side.

Jez: The beauty of the FA Cup is seeing the shocks. We’d all like it if United or Liverpool lost to a smaller club, but you just don’t want the upset to be you!

Doves’ prediction: 0-4